British Prime Minister Boris Johnson looks on course to win Thursday’s election as he can no longer be sure of a majority, according to opinion polls.
The December 12 election has been described by all parties as Britain’s most important in memory, with Johnson calling for a huge majority so he can pull Britain out of the EU next month.
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YouGov, which accurately predicted the outcome of the last election two years ago with a survey, cut its forecast for Johnson’s likely parliamentary majority by more than half to 28 seats.
Two weeks ago it had forecast a majority of 68.
Possible outcomes range from a landslide victory for Johnson to a hung Parliament with no party in control, YouGov said.
“It could not be tighter,” Johnson said on Wednesday when asked about the opinion polls showing a tighter race.
In a last-minute pitch for votes, both Johnson and Labour leader Jeremy Corbyn went on whistlestop tours of the country.
The YouGov model indicated Johnson’s Conservatives were on course to win 339 seats in the 650-seat House of Commons with 43% of the vote, versus Labour’s 231 seats with 34% of the vote.
While that would be the Conservatives’ best performance in seat terms since Margaret Thatcher’s 1987 victory, YouGov said the Conservatives’ tally could fall anywhere from 311 to 367.
An Opinium poll showed Johnson’s lead over Labour had narrowed to 12 percentage points from 15.