NPAs hampered economic growth, not demonetisation: Niti Aayog VC

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National Institution for Transforming India (NITI Aayog) Vice Chairman Rajiv Kumar on Monday delivered an unprecedented defence of demonetisation and blamed former Reserve Bank of India (RBI) governor Raghuram Rajan for the economic slowdown.

Speaking to news agency ANI, Kumar referred to Rajan’s policies on non-performing assets and said it was a “false narrative” that note ban was the cause behind declining growth rate. “This is a completely false narrative and people like Mr P Chidambaram and our former prime minister (Manmohan Singh) added to this.”

“If you look at the statistics on growth rate, in the post-demonetisation period, the growth rate came down not because of note ban but because there was a declining trend for the last six quarters. Every successive quarter, the growth rate had been coming down. Starting from last quarter of 2015-16, the growth rate had come down for six successive quarters. So, this was just simply a continuation of a trend and not because of a shock due to demonetisation as it is being claimed.”

“There is no evidence to show a direct link between demonetisation and the economic slowdown,” Kumar added.

While explaining the reason behind the declining growth, the NITI Aayog VC said, “This growth was declining because of the rising NPAs in the banking sector. When this government came into office, the figure (NPA) was about four lakh crore. It rose to 10.5 lakh crore by the middle of 2017. Under the previous governor, Mr Raghuram Rajan, who revised the mechanisms, the NPAs began to grow which is why the banking sector stopped giving credit to the industry.”

“Never have we seen such a continuous and persistent year-upon-year deleveraging of credit. This is the cause of the economic slowdown. And this is what is being compensated by this government by ramping up of public capital expenditure,” Kumar further added.

Later, taking to Twitter, Kumar said, “My views on GDP’s decline being unrelated to solely demonetisation and having begun way before with stricter norms of NPA by RBI under Mr Rajan R fact-based and self-explanatory but some misleading headlines have coerced me to reiterate that the discussion is on policies not people.”

Further, he clarified that his views on the GDP decline that took place in six successive quarters, started from the last quarter 2015-16.

“GDP growth peaked at 9.2% in Jan- Mar 2016 but declined successively for 6 quarters. NPAs rose exponentially to 10.5 Lakh crore for loan’s given out during 2010/11-13/14 to rise & commercial banks virtually stopped lending to industry. Medium & small industry was particularly hit.”

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